Deciding Between Hot Stocks: ORBCOMM Inc. (ORBC), SciPlay Corporation (SCPL)

The shares of ORBCOMM Inc. have decreased by more than -36.08% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 4.14% or $0.21 and now trades at $5.28. The shares of SciPlay Corporation (NASDAQ:SCPL), has slumped by -25.84% year to date as of 09/11/2019. The shares currently trade at $11.31 and have been able to report a change of 20.70% over the past one week.

The stock of ORBCOMM Inc. and SciPlay Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. ORBC has an EBITDA margin of 37.49%, this implies that the underlying business of ORBC is more profitable. The ROI of ORBC is -1.40% while that of SCPL is 26.00%. These figures suggest that SCPL ventures generate a higher ROI than that of ORBC.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ORBC’s free cash flow per share is a positive -0, while that of SCPL is negative -0.4.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for ORBC is 3.00 and that of SCPL is 2.70. This implies that it is easier for ORBC to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SCPL. The debt ratio of ORBC is 0.99 compared to 0.00 for SCPL. ORBC can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than SCPL.

Valuation

ORBC currently trades at a P/B of 1.69, and a P/S of 1.51 while SCPL trades at a forward P/E of 9.67, a P/B of 30.57, and a P/S of 2.97. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ORBC is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ORBC is currently at a -40.81% to its one-year price target of 8.92. Looking at its rival pricing, SCPL is at a -34.7% relative to its price target of 17.32.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ORBC is given a 1.90 while 1.70 placed for SCPL. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ORBC stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ORBC is 3.86 while that of SCPL is just 2.43. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for SCPL stock.

Conclusion

The stock of SciPlay Corporation defeats that of ORBCOMM Inc. when the two are compared, with SCPL taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. SCPL happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, SCPL is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for SCPL is better on when it is viewed on short interest.