Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is better stock pick than At Invacare Corporation (IVC)

The shares of Netflix, Inc. have increased by more than 7.60% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.16% or -$6.35 and now trades at $287.99. The shares of Invacare Corporation (NYSE:IVC), has jumped by 76.28% year to date as of 09/10/2019. The shares currently trade at $7.58 and have been able to report a change of 50.10% over the past one week.

The stock of Netflix, Inc. and Invacare Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 47.32% versus 10.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that NFLX will grow it’s earning at a 47.32% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to IVC which will have a positive growth at a 10.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of NFLX implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. NFLX has an EBITDA margin of 11.42%, this implies that the underlying business of NFLX is more profitable. The ROI of NFLX is 10.00% while that of IVC is -7.50%. These figures suggest that NFLX ventures generate a higher ROI than that of IVC.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, NFLX’s free cash flow per share is a negative -3.58.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for NFLX is 0.80 and that of IVC is 1.90. This implies that it is easier for NFLX to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than IVC. The debt ratio of NFLX is 2.06 compared to 0.79 for IVC. NFLX can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than IVC.

Valuation

NFLX currently trades at a forward P/E of 50.71, a P/B of 20.64, and a P/S of 7.23 while IVC trades at a forward P/E of 97.18, a P/B of 0.77, and a P/S of 0.27. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, NFLX is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of NFLX is currently at a -25.82% to its one-year price target of 388.23. Looking at its rival pricing, IVC is at a -53.58% relative to its price target of 16.33.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), NFLX is given a 2.20 while 2.00 placed for IVC. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for NFLX stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for NFLX is 3.07 while that of IVC is just 20.92. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for NFLX stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Netflix, Inc. defeats that of Invacare Corporation when the two are compared, with NFLX taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. NFLX happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, NFLX is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for NFLX is better on when it is viewed on short interest.