The shares of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated have decreased by more than -16.21% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.64% or $0.47 and now trades at $18.24. The shares of Health Insurance Innovations, Inc. (NASDAQ:HIIQ), has slumped by -29.18% year to date as of 08/13/2019. The shares currently trade at $18.93 and have been able to report a change of -14.11% over the past one week.
The stock of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated and Health Insurance Innovations, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that ATI will grow it’s earning at a 14.20% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to HIIQ which will have a positive growth at a 10.38% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of ATI implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. ATI has an EBITDA margin of 8.65%, this implies that the underlying business of HIIQ is more profitable. The ROI of ATI is 10.40% while that of HIIQ is 9.90%. These figures suggest that ATI ventures generate a higher ROI than that of HIIQ.Cash Flow
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ATI’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.03.
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of ATI is 0.80 compared to 2.31 for HIIQ. HIIQ can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than ATI.Valuation
ATI currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.50, a P/B of 1.18, and a P/S of 0.60 while HIIQ trades at a forward P/E of 4.19, a P/B of 3.12, and a P/S of 0.77. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ATI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ATI is currently at a -38.59% to its one-year price target of 29.70. Looking at its rival pricing, HIIQ is at a -66.12% relative to its price target of 55.88.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ATI is given a 2.40 while 1.70 placed for HIIQ. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ATI stocks.Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ATI is 11.98 while that of HIIQ is just 10.27. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HIIQ stock.
The stock of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated defeats that of Health Insurance Innovations, Inc. when the two are compared, with ATI taking 7 out of the total factors that were been considered. ATI happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ATI is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ATI is better on when it is viewed on short interest.